Library House Blog
Blog Archives for: September 2007
Does Microsoft have more money than sense?
Posted by Phil D at 9:47pm, 27th September 2007 /
4 Comments
The trouble as I see it, is that revenues and profits are just as important as the number of members or potential members Facebook has. Many, many start-ups during last high-tech boom faltered on just that point.
But my doubts don't end there. There are a whole load of look-alikes and other shades of social networking sites that are working hard to chip away at Facebook. Surely it is only time before one or more of them become the next cool thing on campus and Facebook is relegated to a slightly embarrassing anachronism? After all, Facebook itself has come from nowhere to the Talk of the Town in the time it takes for a student to sink a triple at happy hour.
And blasphemous as it sounds, I do wonder about the longevity of social networking sites. Anybody with an ounce of curiosity in them has registered on at least one social networking site of relevance to them. But how many dedicated, regular users does that actually produce? I have at least two accounts that have been dormant for months.
There are other reasons to think that the gloss could come off the whole idea, shrinking it back to the student population from whence it came. The main one is the damage they can inflict on the reputations of people who have a reputation to lose - and that means just about anybody in gainful employment. Take the two British tennis players, David Rice and Naomi Broady, whose young careers may just have been ended this week by the information they posted on Bebo. In essence, they admitted they enjoyed partying and the odd drink. For that, they were suspended by the Lawn Tennis Association. There are hundreds of similar examples in the public domain and possibly thousands that have stayed private. The trouble is, almost any piece of information or picture could be construed negatively by a colleague or manager. There is not yet the critical negative momentum for social networking to be seen as a career faux-pas, but it is surely not far away.
Ticket reselling circle still not squared
Posted by Phil D at 9:25am, 24th September 2007 /
3 Comments
Scalping or ticket touting has a bad name but it is surely in tune with our times – the market decides the price. Except that a joined-up market does not really exist: the ticket touts operate independently of each other so the consumer has no way of knowing what the going rate is for tickets on the black market.
Enter ticketing reselling websites. They offer fans and touts alike the opportunity to sell to each other as they wish and provide hitherto unobtainable pricing transparency. The sites are evangelical about their services. Joe Cohen, chief executive of Seatwave, says: “The secondary market is here to stay and we must all work together to ensure fans get the best deals and receive the best protection.”
Well the kind of service Seatwave provides certainly seems to be a move in the right direction. But there is surely a further evolution in the model. After all, the reselling website model still denies customers complete transparency: the tickets are still sourced from a whole variety of agents and then resold on a whole variety of reselling websites. Consumers would still have to do a lot of homework and spend a lot of time before being assured they were paying a reasonable price. This is surely far less than satisfactory. This situation does exist in financial markets, but participants in these markets usually have analysts and computer models at hand to calculate the best price at any one time. Consumers do not have such tools to hand.
Surely the solution is for sports clubs and music venues to place all tickets on eBay and let the highest bidders take the tickets. The clubs and venues may well be accused of pricing “ordinary” people out of the market, but that is effectively what happens anyway. This is just a more rational way of doing it and ensures that the clubs and venues take the revenues and not the middlemen (except eBay of course).
Is Europe the fall guy again?
Posted by Phil D at 12:07pm, 21st September 2007 /
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There are indications that this time round may be no different. With world debt and equity markets precariously poised, US investors have slowed down investments in the Web 2.0/social networking space. According to figures out this week from Dow Jones VentureOne and Ernst & Young, Web 2.0 investment fell in the US to $357m in the first six months of the year. This compares to a doubling of investment in Europe to $51.5m over the same period. How can we explain this apparent divergence of views?
Either European investors know something that US investors have missed or it's the other way round. In other words, it is possible that a clutch of European Web 2.0 companies has recently sprung up offering services not offered by the vast array of Stateside start-ups. But it is equally possible that US investors have sensed a coming slowdown in the sector, perhaps due to saturation and lack of exit opportunities.
Either explanation is plausible, but history suggests European investors may be in for a rough ride again.
Where angels don't fear to tread
Posted by Phil D at 5:52pm, 17th September 2007 /
1 Comment
EVCA moves out of first gear
Posted by Phil D at 5:17pm, 14th September 2007 /
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This has been a long time coming. Grumbling by venture capitalists that their interests were not being served by their elected industry representatives stopped being funny a long time ago. In fact, most had pretty much given up complaining about being lumped in with buyout funds every time criticism was levelled at the wider private equity industry. As for the EVCA strongly actually championing their cause, the prospect seemed remote.
But the EVCA, perhaps spurred by the criticism, seems to have cranked up a gear. Javier Echarri tells me it is scaling up its roadshows to promote venture capital in particular. A series of roadshows are to take place starting in Australia in November and then move on to the US and Canada. In addition, a life sciences action plan is being set up in conjunction with the European Commission.
There will still be some doubters about the EVCA's ability to truly represent its smallest constituents, but surely this at least shows good faith?
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